Cookie Preferences
By clicking, you agree to store cookies on your device to enhance navigation, analyze usage, and support marketing. More Info
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
March 20, 2026
A new study in the respected journal PLOS One analyzes data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to examine trends in the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-years associated with ADHD among adolescents and young adults aged 10 to 24 years between 1990 and 2021.
The GBD 2021, released by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (U.S.), is a comprehensive global analysis of 371 diseases, injuries, and risk factors – such as ADHD – across 204 countries from 1990 to 2021. Its open-source data are publicly available.
First, a distinction. Incidence measures the number of new cases of a disease that develop in a specific population each year. Prevalence measures the total number of existing cases – both new and pre-existing – in a population each year.
The estimated global incidence of ADHD declined marginally from 12.61 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 11.89 per 100,000 population in 2021, representing an average annual decrease of 0.6% in age-standardized incidence. The rates observed were comparable between males and females.
Regional trends varied: Western Europe had the highest rise in ADHD incidence (0.5% annually), while North Africa and the Middle East saw the largest drop (0.7% annually). Overall, a higher Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) is linked to a greater incidence, although it is far from a perfect fit. Nationally, showed the highest increase in ADHD incidence (1.15% annually), while Qatar showed the largest decrease with an annualized reduction of 1.77%.
The estimated global prevalence of ADHD declined marginally from 2.38% in 1990 to 2.17% in 2021. Again, the decline was similar for males and females, and across all age groups (10-14, 15-19, 20-24). Higher SDI was associated with higher prevalence, but inconsistently.
Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) combine years lost from early death and years lived with disability to measure disease burden. Globally, the age-standardized DALYs rate for ADHD decreased slightly from 30.3 per 100,000 population to 26.6 per 100,000 population, for an average annual decline of 0.6%. The decline occurred across age groups and was similar between males and females.
The authors concluded that ADHD rates and related health burdens have generally declined over the past quarter century, though recent patterns are less consistent due to factors like socioeconomic changes and evolving diagnostic standards. Continued research is needed to improve the accuracy and accessibility of ADHD diagnosis and treatment to further reduce its global impact.
Take-Away:
The broader takeaway is one of cautious reassurance. Despite rising public awareness and diagnosis rates in many Western countries, the global picture over 25 years shows a gentle decline in ADHD burden among young people as opposed to a crisis of escalating proportions as social media may make one think. That said, the variation between regions suggests that access to diagnosis, cultural factors, and reporting standards are shaping the numbers as much as underlying biology. Progress is real but uneven, and the work of improving equitable access to diagnosis and care is far from finished.
Bo Yuan, Bo Ao, Sajid Ali, Qiong Cai, Yanan Chen, and Youliang Huang, “Global, regional, and national burdens of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in adolescents and young adults aged 10–24 years from 1990 to 2021: A trend analysis,” PLOS One (2026), 21(2) e0341076, published online, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0341076.
A cohort study looked at over five million adults, and over 850,000 children between the ages of five and eleven, who received care at Kaiser Permanente Northern California during the ten-year period from the beginning of 2007 through the end of 2016. At any given time, KPNC serves roughly four million persons. It is representative of the population of the region, except for the highest and lowest income strata.
Among adults rates of ADHD diagnosis rose from 0.43% to 0.96%. Among children the diagnosis rates rose from 2.96% to 3.74%, ending up almost four times as high as for adults.
Non-Hispanic whites had the highest adult rates throughout, increasing from 0.67% in 2007 to 1.42% in 2016. American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) had the second highest rates, rising from 0.56% to 1.14%. Blacks and Hispanics had roughly comparable rates of diagnosis, the former rising from 0.22% to 0.69%, the latter from 0.25% to 0.65%. The lowest rates were among Asians (rising from 0.11% to 0.35%) and Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islanders (increasing from 0.11% to 0.39%).
Odds of diagnosis dropped steeply with age among adults. Relative to 18-24-year-olds, 25-34-year-olds were 1/6th less likely to be diagnosed with ADHD, 35-44-year-olds 1/3rd less likely, 45-54-year-olds less than half as likely, 55-64-year-olds less than a quarter as likely, and those over 65 about a twentieth as likely. This is consistent with other studies reporting and age dependent decline in the diagnosis.
Adults with the highest levels of education were twice as likely to be diagnosed as those with the lowest levels. But variations in median household income had almost no effect. Women were marginally less likely to be diagnosed than men.
ADHD is associated with some other psychiatric disorders. Compared with normally developing adults, and adjusted for confounders, those with ADHD were five times as likely to have an eating disorder, over four times as likely to be diagnosed with bipolar disorder or depression, more than twice as likely to suffer from anxiety, but only slightly more likely to abuse drugs or alcohol.
The authors speculate that rising rates of diagnosis could reflect increasing recognition of ADHD in adults by physicians and other clinicians as well as growing public awareness of ADHD during the decade under study. Turning to the strong differences among ethnicities, they note, Racial/ethnic differences could also reflect differential rates of treatment seeking or access to care. Racial/ethnic background is known to play an important role in opinions on mental health services, health care utilization, and physician preferences. In addition, rates of diagnosis- seeking to obtain stimulant medication for nonmedical use may be more common among white vs nonwhite patients. They conclude, greater consideration must be placed on cultural influences on health care seeking and delivery, along with an increased understanding of the various social, psychological, and biological differences among races/ethnicities as well as culturally sensitive approaches to identify and treat ADHD in the total population.
But the main take home message of this work is that most cases of ADHD in adults are not being diagnosed by clinicians. We know from population studies, worldwide, that about three percent of adults suffer from the disorder. This study found that less than 1 percent are diagnosed by their doctors. Clearly, more education is needed to teach clinicians how to identify, diagnose and treat ADHD in adults.
A transcontinental study team (California, Texas, Florida) used a nationally representative sample – the 2018 National Survey of Children’s Health – to query 26,205 caregivers of youth aged 3 to 17 years old to explore inequities in ADHD diagnosis.
With increasing accessibility of the internet in the U.S., more than 80% of adults now search for health information online. Recognizing that search engine data could help clarify patterns of inequity, the team also consulted Google Trends.
The team noted at the outset that “[d]ocumenting the true prevalence of ADHD remains challenging in light of problems of overdiagnosis (e.g., following quick screening rather than full evaluation incorporating multi-informant and multi-method data given limited resources) and underdiagnosis (e.g., reflecting inequities in healthcare and education systems).” Underdiagnosis is known to be influenced by lack or inadequacy of health insurance, inadequate public health funding, stigma, sociocultural expectations in some ethnic groups, and structural racism, among other factors.
After controlling for poverty status, highest education in household, child’s sex, and child’s age, the team reported that Black youth were a quarter (22%) less likely to receive ADHD diagnoses than their white peers. Latino/Hispanic youth were a third (32%) less likely and Asian youth three-quarters (73%) less likely to receive ADHD diagnoses than their white peers.
The team also found that state-level online search interest in ADHD was positively associated with ADHD diagnoses, after controlling for race/ethnicity, poverty status, highest education in household, child’s sex, and child’s age. However, the odds ratio was low (1.01), “suggesting the need for additional evaluation.” Furthermore, “There was no interaction between individual-level racial/ethnic background and state-level information-seeking patterns. … the state-level online information-seeking variation did not affect the odds that youth of color would have a current ADHD diagnosis over and above other included characteristics.”
That could be due in part to the gap in high-speed broadband access between Black and Hispanic in contrast to white populations, but that would not explain the even larger gaps in diagnosis for Asian youth, who tend to come from more prosperous backgrounds.
The team concluded, “Persistent racial/ethnic inequities warrant systematic changes in policy and clinical care that can attend to the needs of underserved communities. The digital divide adds complexity to persistent racial/ethnic and socioeconomic inequities in ADHD diagnosis …”
The diagnosis of ADHD should only be done by a licensed clinician, and that clinician should have one goal in mind: to plan a safe and effective course of evidence-based treatment. The infographic gives a summary of this diagnostic approach which my colleagues and I prepared for our "Primer" about ADHD,http://rdcu.be/gYyV. A key point that parents of ADHD youth and adults with ADHD should keep in mind is that there is only one way to diagnose ADHD.An expert clinician must document the criteria for the disorder as specified by either the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of the American Psychiatric Association, which is now in its fifth edition (DSM-5), or the World Health Organization's International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10). The two sets of criteria are nearly identical. These criteria are most commonly applied by a clinician asking questions of the parent (for children) and/or patient (for adolescents and adults).For children, information from the teacher can be useful. Some clinicians get this information by having the parent ask the teacher to fill out a rating scale. This information can be very useful if it is available. When diagnosing adults, it is also useful to collect information from a significant other, which can be a parent for young adults or a spouse for older adults. But when such informants are not available, diagnosing ADHD based on the patient's self-report is valid. As the infographic indicates, any diagnosis of ADHD should also assess for comorbid psychiatric disorders, as these have implications for which ADHD medications will be safe and effective. And because a prior history of cardiovascular disease or seizures frequently contraindicate stimulants. These must also be assessed.
The Background:
Motor vehicle crashes remain one of the most significant public health challenges in the United States. In 2022 alone, nearly 44,000 people died on American roads, and more than 2.6 million crash-related injuries required emergency care. Most people are familiar with the usual suspects: drunk driving, speeding, and distracted driving from phones. These risks are well-documented and the focus of ongoing public safety campaigns.
But a serious risk factor has been flying under the radar: untreated ADHD. Despite receiving little attention from the public, policymakers, or transportation safety agencies, it may belong in the same conversation as these better-known dangers.
ADHD is not currently recognized by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration as a driving risk factor; yet inattention and impulsivity, two of its defining features, are consistently cited as common contributors to crashes. Beyond these core symptoms, adults with ADHD may also experience emotional dysregulation, which can further impair driving behavior.
The Research:
Prior studies on ADHD and crash risk have produced estimates ranging from a 5% to a 70% increase. This massive heterogeneity has made it difficult to draw firm conclusions. This new meta-analysis set out to offer some clarity on these numbers.
Researchers focused specifically on adults aged 18 to 65 with a formal ADHD diagnosis who were not receiving treatment, comparing them to controls without ADHD. Four studies met these criteria, collectively covering more than 2.75 million people.
The Results:
The findings were striking: untreated ADHD was associated with a 93% increase in crash risk (95% confidence interval: 88%–99%). There was no evidence of publication bias. Although there was meaningful variation across studies, most of it stemmed from the smallest study (just 36 participants) which reported an outlier estimate of a 16-fold increase.
To put the 93% figure in context: a separate meta-analysis found that alcohol use is associated with a 150% increase in crash risk. Another way to understand just how significant this risk really is, untreated ADHD raises crash risk by more than half as much as alcohol does.
The analysis also found a dose-response relationship between ADHD symptom severity and crash risk: each incremental increase in symptom severity corresponded to a 5–6% higher crash risk. At the highest severity levels, crash risk approached that associated with alcohol use. This gradient reinforces that we're not looking at a binary distinction between “has ADHD” and “doesn’t” — the worse the symptoms, the greater the danger on the road.
The Takeaway:
These findings have practical implications for patients, families, clinicians, and policymakers alike. Untreated ADHD is not a minor footnote in the driving safety literature; rather, it is a substantial, measurable, and potentially modifiable risk factor. The question of whether and how it should be factored into licensing policy, clinical practice, and public health messaging deserves serious attention.
As populations grow, more children are growing up surrounded by traffic noise and polluted air. In most cities, these two factors tend to go hand-in-hand; yet, most previous research has examined these exposures separately. Many reviews focused on a single pollutant (such as fine particulate matter, PM2.5), or on a single developmental window, such as pregnancy or early childhood. Few have asked how noise and air pollution compare as risk factors, or how prenatal and postnatal exposures differ in their effects.
A new meta-analysis set out to address those gaps. It examined evidence on both environmental noise and several major air pollutants in relation to ADHD, compared exposures before versus after birth, and pooled data across countries and regions. Eligible studies involved children and adolescents under 18, used objective measures of environmental exposure, and assessed ADHD using either clinical diagnosis or standardized rating scales.
Noise
Nine studies, combining data from over 100,000 children and adolescents (all in European countries and Canada) found that high noise exposure was associated with 3% greater odds of ADHD. Prenatal noise exposure showed no effect; childhood exposure alone drove the association, at 4% greater odds. This is a negligible effect size that could easily reflect unmeasured confounding factors rather than a true causal relationship.
Nitrogen dioxide
Thirteen studies covering nearly one million children and adolescents in Europe, Canada, China, and South Korea found that nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) exposure was associated with 11% greater odds of ADHD. As with noise, prenatal exposure showed no independent effect. When the analysis was restricted to the five studies that used clinical diagnoses alone — generally considered the most reliable measure — the estimated odds rose to between 20% and 80% higher. The wide range reflects substantial variation across studies.
Pollutants with no significant effect
Four studies (97,500 participants) examining nitric oxide (NO), three studies (over 63,000 participants) on ozone, and three studies (over 28,000 participants) on sulfur dioxide found no significant associations with ADHD.
Particulate matter
The strongest associations emerged for particulate matter. Twelve studies involving nearly 160,000 participants in China, the US, Canada, and Europe found that exposure to fine particles (PM2.5, 2.5 microns in diameter) was associated with 30% greater odds of ADHD. Ten studies covering more than a quarter of a million participants in India, China, South Korea, and Europe found that coarser particles (PM10, 10 microns) were associated with 50% greater odds. In both cases, prenatal exposure showed no association, which is consistent with the fact that fetuses do not breathe air through developed lungs. When restricted to clinically diagnosed ADHD, PM2.5 was associated with roughly 50% greater odds, and PM10 with more than double the odds.
The Results
Across all exposures examined, particulate matter showed the clearest and strongest associations with ADHD, followed by nitrogen dioxide. Noise reached statistical significance but at a trivially small effect size. Nitric oxide, ozone, and sulfur dioxide showed no significant associations.
The authors found no evidence of publication bias which strengthens confidence in the overall pattern. However, there was marked heterogeneity across individual studies: results varied considerably, which urges caution in treating any single estimate as definitive. These are associations, not proven causal relationships, and the possibility that unmeasured factors explain part of the signal cannot be ruled out.
The Background:
Over the past two decades, diagnostic rates for adult ADHD have roughly doubled, and stimulant prescriptions in the United States skyrocketed by more than 50% between 2012 and 2023, particularly among girls and women. While these medications help many individuals manage their symptoms, a landmark 2026 article published in European Neuropsychopharmacology tackles an important question that is rarely discussed: When should doctors and patients consider stopping them?
The Discussion:
To answer this, the American Society of Clinical Psychopharmacology (ASCP) gathered a task force of 45 international experts spanning 12 countries. Through a rigorous evaluation process, they reached an overwhelming agreement on a framework for "deprescribing", the planned, supervised reduction or cessation of a medication. Here are the core insights from these ground-breaking guidelines and what they mean for adults navigating long-term ADHD treatment.
When the Treatment Isn’t Yielding Benefits
One of the most straightforward reasons to consider stopping a stimulant is if it simply isn’t doing its job. The task force agreed that if a patient does not experience an optimal response, measured by actual symptom reduction, improved daily functioning, and a better quality of life, even after trying a high, optimized dose, it may be time to step back and look at alternative options.
Sometimes, the issue goes back to the initial evaluation. The criteria for diagnosing ADHD have expanded over the years, and brief psychiatric evaluations can occasionally lead to diagnostic inaccuracies. If a thorough reevaluation reveals that the original ADHD diagnosis was incorrect, the expert consensus is clear: stimulant deprescribing is appropriate unless another stimulant-responsive condition is evident. Furthermore, if a patient develops a persistent tolerance to the drug that cannot be resolved by safe dose adjustments, a temporary taper or drug holiday may be recommended.
When the Risks to Health Outweigh the Rewards
Our bodies and health needs naturally shift over time, meaning a medication that worked safely years ago might pose a threat to your health today. The experts concluded that deprescribing should be heavily considered if stimulants exacerbate a concurrent medical or psychiatric illness. For example, although rare, stimulants can unintentionally trigger mania or psychosis in adults with unstable or unrecognized comorbid bipolar disorder.
Physical health developments are equally critical. If an adult develops a newly arising or unstable cardiovascular condition, such as a cardiac arrhythmia, ischemia, or cardiomyopathy, the risk-benefit balance changes dramatically. Additionally, if severe side effects occur that cannot be managed by reducing the dosage, or if dangerous new drug-drug interactions emerge, stopping the medication under medical supervision protects the patient's long-term well-being.
Addressing Misuse and the Complex Role of Cannabis
Because stimulant medications target brain reward and wakefulness circuitry, they can foster a propensity for misuse. Studies indicate that more than 1 in 5 adults prescribed stimulants have misused them, and 1 in 6 have diverted their medication to others. The task force emphasizes that deprescribing is warranted if a patient persistently takes doses higher than prescribed against medical advice, uses the medication purely for unauthorized performance enhancement, or has an untreated, coexisting substance use disorder.
And what about cannabis? This topic sparked the most debate among the experts, falling just short of an official consensus with 71% agreement that regular cannabis use alone shouldn't automatically trigger a stimulant stoppage. Recognizing the complexity, such as how chronic cannabis use can overlap with ADHD executive function deficits, the task force proposed a structured monitoring approach instead of an immediate cutoff. Clinicians are encouraged to track the patient every 1 to 3 months using standardized symptom tools and random urine drug screens to verify whether cannabis use is actively neutralizing the stimulant's therapeutic benefits.
The Path Forward: Safe Tapering and Lifestyle Support
If you and your doctor decide that stopping a stimulant is the right path, it shouldn’t happen overnight. The task force strongly recommends that medications be gradually tapered off at a rate tailored to the individual to minimize potential disruptions and distinguish between transient withdrawal and a true return of ADHD symptoms.
Crucially, stopping a medication doesn't mean stopping treatment. The experts highlight that the success of any deprescribing plan is significantly enhanced when patients focus on optimizing modifiable lifestyle factors. Prioritizing sleep hygiene, staying physically active, and implementing structured behavioral strategies can support executive functioning and help sustain your cognitive gains even as the medication is reduced or eliminated.
The Takeaway:
The decision to continue or stop an ADHD medication is a deeply personal one that requires balancing real-world efficacy, safety, and individual health changes. These new consensus recommendations provide an essential roadmap to help adults navigate their long-term mental health journeys safely and effectively.
Are you or a loved one currently evaluating your long-term relationship with ADHD medication? Consider scheduling a check-in with your healthcare provider to discuss whether your current treatment plan still perfectly matches your health needs today.
_logo%201.svg)
